Eng's Notebook

The technology S-curve is a helpful way to understand how new technologies grow, succeed, and eventually slow down. It shows the typical journey of any innovation from early struggles to big success, then slowing down, and finally being replaced by something new. This idea is useful for business leaders, inventors, and anyone interested in how technology changes over time. The technology S curve has 4 main stages.  S curve phases 1. Ferment Stage – “Is this really  going to work?” At the beginning, the new technology is just an idea. It might not work well yet, and there’s a lot of confusion. Different people try different ways to make it better. No one knows for sure which version will win. Progress is slow and risky. High uncertainty and risk Intense R&D activity Few early adopters Fierce competition to establish a dominant design  2. Takeoff Stage  – “Now it’s working!” Once a good version is found, the technology starts to grow fast. More people begin t...